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Red36
99978.6
264824.2
61616.5
Blue121
271333.9
31926.4
13135.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2910705015036121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2648
#10
24.20.5
24.423.8
Auto9.5
Teleop11.9
End2.9
blue by 11.6
131
#8
35.82.3
33.035.3
Auto10.6
Teleop18.4
End6.8
Second
9997
#14
8.60.9
6.25.3
Auto4.2
Teleop4.0
End0.2
blue by 25.3
33.92.3
29.531.8
Auto9.8
Teleop22.3
End1.8
Third
6161
#22
6.50.5
8.58.0
Auto2.8
Teleop0.5
End3.2
blue by 19.9
319
#7
26.42.3
24.626.8
Auto3.9
Teleop21.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed90%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed62%Ensemble oddsMissed