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Qual 62024 Summer Heat
Red50
5820.2
431118.2
632936.8
Blue82
568737.4
456427.5
944320.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions931100501502005082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6329
#13
36.82.4
42.6→40.2
Auto12.1
Teleop22.7
End2.0
blue by 0.7
5687
#1
37.41.7
41.6→39.9
Auto8.7
Teleop25.8
End2.9
Second
58
#23
20.22.4
24.6→22.2
Auto9.2
Teleop9.0
End2.1
blue by 7.3
4564
#5
27.51.7
30.7→29.0
Auto12.3
Teleop11.8
End3.5
Third
4311
#9
18.22.4
18.8→16.4
Auto8.4
Teleop8.9
End0.9
blue by 2.5
9443
#25
20.71.7
24.8→23.1
Auto10.5
Teleop7.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
86%Melody oddsMissed92%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed48%Ensemble oddsEarned