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Qual 72024 Summer Heat
Red39
80238.6
490921.7
615314.8
Blue65
632847.8
999910.4
264824.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions459701503965

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4909
#20
21.70.5
24.7→24.2
Auto9.7
Teleop9.0
End3.0
blue by 26.0
6328
#2
47.81.3
47.5→46.2
Auto15.8
Teleop26.2
End5.8
Second
6153
#21
14.80.5
14.5→14.0
Auto5.1
Teleop9.6
End0.2
blue by 9.4
2648
#10
24.21.3
25.6→24.4
Auto9.5
Teleop11.9
End2.9
Third
8023
#12
8.60.5
7.3→6.8
Auto4.7
Teleop2.5
End1.4
blue by 1.8
9999
#4
10.42.1
10.8→8.7
Auto4.0
Teleop5.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed90%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed64%Ensemble oddsEarned