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Qual 82024 Summer Heat
Red60
31926.4
99978.6
581338.6
Blue52
99834.7
447318.0
17218.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73500204060801001201406052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5813
#3
38.60.6
36.0→35.5
Auto14.7
Teleop20.7
End3.3
red by 19.9
172
#28
18.70.1
22.4→22.6
Auto7.8
Teleop8.2
End2.8
Second
319
#7
26.40.6
25.1→24.6
Auto3.9
Teleop21.9
End0.7
red by 8.4
4473
#16
18.00.1
19.1→19.3
Auto7.5
Teleop8.7
End1.8
Third
9997
#14
8.60.9
7.1→6.2
Auto4.2
Teleop4.0
End0.2
red by 3.9
9983
#27
4.70.2
8.4→8.6
Auto3.3
Teleop0.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned40%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed