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Red71
999910.4
17218.7
13334.7
Blue88
31926.4
447318.0
346735.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65940501507188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#11
34.70.2
34.634.7
Auto10.0
Teleop17.3
End7.5
blue by 0.6
3467
#26
35.40.1
35.635.7
Auto9.0
Teleop24.3
End2.1
Second
172
#28
18.70.2
18.618.7
Auto7.8
Teleop8.2
End2.8
blue by 7.7
319
#7
26.40.1
26.626.7
Auto3.9
Teleop21.9
End0.7
Third
10.40.3
10.110.4
Auto4.0
Teleop5.3
End1.0
blue by 7.5
4473
#16
18.00.1
18.218.3
Auto7.5
Teleop8.7
End1.8