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Red66
271333.9
456427.5
80238.6
Blue111
581338.6
99988.8
632847.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7510305015066111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.90.1
34.033.9
Auto9.8
Teleop22.3
End1.8
blue by 13.9
47.80.4
46.246.5
Auto15.8
Teleop26.2
End5.8
Second
27.50.1
27.627.5
Auto12.3
Teleop11.8
End3.5
blue by 11.1
38.60.4
37.037.4
Auto14.7
Teleop20.7
End3.3
Third
8023
#12
8.60.1
8.78.6
Auto4.7
Teleop2.5
End1.4
blue by 0.2
9998
#15
8.80.6
6.16.7
Auto5.5
Teleop3.1
End0.1