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Red94
944320.7
431118.2
5820.2
Blue54
13334.7
17218.7
999910.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64710501001509454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9443
#25
20.70.7
20.321.0
Auto10.5
Teleop7.7
End2.5
blue by 14.0
133
#11
34.70.2
34.834.6
Auto10.0
Teleop17.3
End7.5
Second
58
#23
20.20.7
19.820.5
Auto9.2
Teleop9.0
End2.1
red by 1.5
172
#28
18.70.2
18.818.6
Auto7.8
Teleop8.2
End2.8
Third
18.20.7
17.818.5
Auto8.4
Teleop8.9
End0.9
red by 7.8
10.40.4
10.510.1
Auto4.0
Teleop5.3
End1.0