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Red75
346735.4
447318.0
31926.4
Blue119
581338.6
99988.8
632847.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8810405015020075119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3467
#26
35.40.4
35.735.4
Auto9.0
Teleop24.3
End2.1
blue by 12.4
47.80.4
46.546.9
Auto15.8
Teleop26.2
End5.8
Second
319
#7
26.40.4
26.726.4
Auto3.9
Teleop21.9
End0.7
blue by 12.2
38.60.4
37.437.8
Auto14.7
Teleop20.7
End3.3
Third
4473
#16
18.00.4
18.318.0
Auto7.5
Teleop8.7
End1.8
red by 9.2
9998
#15
8.80.6
6.77.3
Auto5.5
Teleop3.1
End0.1