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Red49
944320.7
431118.2
5820.2
Blue118
581338.6
99988.8
632847.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6110905010015049118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9443
#25
20.70.4
21.020.7
Auto10.5
Teleop7.7
End2.5
blue by 27.1
47.80.5
46.947.4
Auto15.8
Teleop26.2
End5.8
Second
58
#23
20.20.4
20.620.2
Auto9.2
Teleop9.0
End2.1
blue by 18.4
38.60.5
37.838.3
Auto14.7
Teleop20.7
End3.3
Third
18.20.4
18.618.2
Auto8.4
Teleop8.9
End0.9
red by 9.5
9998
#15
8.80.9
7.38.2
Auto5.5
Teleop3.1
End0.1