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Red104
856714.9
17218.7
13334.7
Blue91
615314.8
490921.7
13135.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7281020406010012014016010491

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#11
34.70.8
33.934.8
Auto10.0
Teleop17.3
End7.5
blue by 1.0
131
#8
35.80.4
35.435.9
Auto10.6
Teleop18.4
End6.8
Second
172
#28
18.70.8
17.918.8
Auto7.8
Teleop8.2
End2.8
blue by 3.0
4909
#20
21.70.4
21.421.9
Auto9.7
Teleop9.0
End3.0
Third
8567
#24
14.90.8
14.114.9
Auto5.3
Teleop10.3
End-0.6
red by 0.1
6153
#21
14.80.4
14.514.9
Auto5.1
Teleop9.6
End0.2