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Red65
804619.8
264824.2
99978.6
Blue95
31926.4
447318.0
346735.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions509501506595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2648
#10
24.20.2
24.024.2
Auto9.5
Teleop11.9
End2.9
blue by 11.2
3467
#26
35.40.3
35.235.6
Auto9.0
Teleop24.3
End2.1
Second
8046
#17
19.80.2
19.619.8
Auto9.4
Teleop9.5
End0.9
blue by 6.6
319
#7
26.40.3
26.326.6
Auto3.9
Teleop21.9
End0.7
Third
9997
#14
8.60.3
8.38.6
Auto4.2
Teleop4.0
End0.2
blue by 9.4
4473
#16
18.00.3
17.818.2
Auto7.5
Teleop8.7
End1.8