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Red89
632847.8
99988.8
581338.6
Blue67
615314.8
490921.7
13135.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103780501508967

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.80.0
46.246.2
Auto15.8
Teleop26.2
End5.8
red by 12.0
131
#8
35.80.1
35.935.8
Auto10.6
Teleop18.4
End6.8
Second
38.60.0
37.037.0
Auto14.7
Teleop20.7
End3.3
red by 16.9
4909
#20
21.70.1
21.921.7
Auto9.7
Teleop9.0
End3.0
Third
9998
#15
8.80.0
6.16.1
Auto5.5
Teleop3.1
End0.1
blue by 6.0
6153
#21
14.80.1
14.914.8
Auto5.1
Teleop9.6
End0.2