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Red26
57166.2
440315.0
594813.6
Blue40
347831.2
61062.4
61707.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465602040801001202640

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4403
#23
15.01.1
20.219.0
Auto5.0
Teleop8.5
End1.5
blue by 16.2
31.20.8
33.032.2
Auto12.2
Teleop15.4
End3.5
Second
5948
#27
13.61.1
16.915.7
Auto5.7
Teleop6.4
End1.6
red by 5.7
6170
#17
7.90.8
11.510.7
Auto4.6
Teleop2.3
End1.0
Third
5716
#25
6.21.1
6.14.9
Auto0.2
Teleop5.0
End1.0
red by 3.8
6106
#26
2.40.8
5.34.5
Auto1.6
Teleop0.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed