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Red50
742124.9
228315.8
92807.9
Blue40
93015.4
570511.2
463537.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions695602040801001205040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.91.1
29.528.4
Auto8.6
Teleop14.7
End1.6
blue by 12.4
37.20.9
33.832.9
Auto15.0
Teleop20.8
End1.4
Second
2283
#12
15.81.1
19.118.0
Auto9.0
Teleop5.6
End1.2
red by 4.6
5705
#20
11.20.9
12.211.3
Auto6.8
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Third
9280
#19
7.91.1
12.311.3
Auto1.8
Teleop5.3
End0.8
red by 2.5
9301
#32
5.40.9
6.05.1
Auto2.1
Teleop2.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed