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Red65
570511.2
347831.2
92807.9
Blue52
664716.0
440029.1
40103.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615302040801006552

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.20.3
32.332.0
Auto12.2
Teleop15.4
End3.5
red by 2.1
29.10.2
28.028.3
Auto11.7
Teleop16.4
End1.0
Second
5705
#20
11.20.3
11.811.5
Auto6.8
Teleop3.4
End1.1
blue by 4.8
16.00.2
16.016.3
Auto4.9
Teleop9.7
End1.4
Third
9280
#19
7.90.3
10.19.8
Auto1.8
Teleop5.3
End0.8
red by 4.7
4010
#30
3.20.2
4.74.9
Auto1.9
Teleop0.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed42%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
44%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed