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Red26
440315.0
829311.3
61707.9
Blue26
99992.1
58879.1
75462.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions451102060801002626

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4403
#23
15.0
Auto5.0
Teleop8.5
End1.5
red by 5.9
5887
#15
9.1
Auto4.1
Teleop4.5
End0.4
Second
11.3
Auto5.5
Teleop5.6
End0.2
red by 8.9
7546
#13
2.4
Auto2.0
Teleop0.4
End0.1
Third
6170
#17
7.9
Auto4.6
Teleop2.3
End1.0
red by 5.8
9999
#18
2.1
Auto2.9
Teleop-1.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed