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Red78
57166.2
440029.1
710217.2
Blue27
228315.8
335414.1
40103.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55350204060801007827

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.11.7
28.330.0
Auto11.7
Teleop16.4
End1.0
red by 13.3
2283
#12
15.80.5
18.217.7
Auto9.0
Teleop5.6
End1.2
Second
17.21.7
13.415.1
Auto5.8
Teleop9.2
End2.2
red by 3.1
3354
#10
14.10.5
11.310.8
Auto3.9
Teleop9.1
End1.0
Third
5716
#25
6.21.7
5.97.6
Auto0.2
Teleop5.0
End1.0
red by 3.0
4010
#30
3.20.5
4.94.4
Auto1.9
Teleop0.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed