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Red74
463537.2
473110.6
34727.6
Blue10
92807.9
670213.5
51335.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions583002040801007410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.20.7
34.935.5
Auto15.0
Teleop20.8
End1.4
red by 23.8
13.51.4
15.414.1
Auto4.4
Teleop7.1
End1.9
Second
10.60.7
9.29.8
Auto4.5
Teleop4.8
End1.4
red by 2.8
9280
#19
7.91.4
9.88.4
Auto1.8
Teleop5.3
End0.8
Third
3472
#14
7.60.7
5.25.8
Auto3.4
Teleop4.2
End-0.0
red by 2.4
5133
#28
5.21.4
5.44.0
Auto2.4
Teleop2.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed