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Red29
99992.1
829311.3
570511.2
Blue23
670213.5
61707.9
34808.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2335060801001202923

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.30.3
9.49.7
Auto5.5
Teleop5.6
End0.2
blue by 2.1
13.50.5
14.113.6
Auto4.4
Teleop7.1
End1.9
Second
5705
#20
11.20.3
10.811.2
Auto6.8
Teleop3.4
End1.1
red by 3.3
3480
#31
8.00.5
7.16.6
Auto3.2
Teleop4.1
End0.7
Third
9999
#18
2.10.5
1.92.4
Auto2.9
Teleop-1.3
End0.4
blue by 5.8
6170
#17
7.90.5
9.38.8
Auto4.6
Teleop2.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
2%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed