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Red59
440315.0
478210.8
742124.9
Blue58
61062.4
463537.2
460319.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58662040801005958

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.91.3
26.825.5
Auto8.6
Teleop14.7
End1.6
blue by 12.4
37.20.4
35.535.1
Auto15.0
Teleop20.8
End1.4
Second
4403
#23
15.01.3
16.615.3
Auto5.0
Teleop8.5
End1.5
blue by 4.4
4603
#11
19.40.4
19.719.3
Auto7.6
Teleop10.2
End1.6
Third
4782
#21
10.81.3
10.28.9
Auto5.2
Teleop5.3
End0.4
red by 8.5
6106
#26
2.40.4
3.63.2
Auto1.6
Teleop0.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed50%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed