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Red37
35266.7
440029.1
75462.4
Blue28
39338.5
92807.9
594813.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45330204060801003728

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.10.5
30.029.4
Auto11.7
Teleop16.4
End1.0
red by 15.5
5948
#27
13.60.5
15.014.4
Auto5.7
Teleop6.4
End1.6
Second
3526
#16
6.70.5
6.15.6
Auto3.4
Teleop3.1
End0.2
blue by 1.7
3933
#24
8.50.5
7.67.0
Auto6.5
Teleop1.4
End0.5
Third
7546
#13
2.40.5
3.63.1
Auto2.0
Teleop0.4
End0.1
blue by 5.4
9280
#19
7.90.5
8.47.9
Auto1.8
Teleop5.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed