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Red22
664716.0
61062.4
594813.6
Blue38
35266.7
58879.1
710217.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39330501001502002502238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.00.8
16.615.8
Auto4.9
Teleop9.7
End1.4
blue by 1.1
17.20.5
16.116.6
Auto5.8
Teleop9.2
End2.2
Second
5948
#27
13.60.8
14.413.6
Auto5.7
Teleop6.4
End1.6
red by 4.5
5887
#15
9.10.5
8.89.3
Auto4.1
Teleop4.5
End0.4
Third
6106
#26
2.40.8
3.22.4
Auto1.6
Teleop0.2
End0.6
blue by 4.4
3526
#16
6.70.5
5.66.1
Auto3.4
Teleop3.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed