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Red26
39338.5
40103.2
93015.4
Blue55
440315.0
34727.6
670213.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134402060801001202655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3933
#24
8.50.0
7.07.1
Auto6.5
Teleop1.4
End0.5
blue by 6.5
4403
#23
15.00.1
15.315.2
Auto5.0
Teleop8.5
End1.5
Second
9301
#32
5.40.0
5.35.4
Auto2.1
Teleop2.6
End0.7
blue by 8.1
13.50.1
13.613.5
Auto4.4
Teleop7.1
End1.9
Third
4010
#30
3.20.0
3.13.2
Auto1.9
Teleop0.8
End0.5
blue by 4.4
3472
#14
7.60.1
7.17.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.2
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed