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Red46
51335.2
570511.2
460319.4
Blue44
99992.1
347831.2
57166.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38460102030506070804644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4603
#11
19.40.2
19.319.6
Auto7.6
Teleop10.2
End1.6
blue by 11.8
31.20.6
31.230.7
Auto12.2
Teleop15.4
End3.5
Second
5705
#20
11.20.2
11.211.4
Auto6.8
Teleop3.4
End1.1
red by 5.1
5716
#25
6.20.6
7.16.5
Auto0.2
Teleop5.0
End1.0
Third
5133
#28
5.20.2
5.05.2
Auto2.4
Teleop2.1
End0.8
red by 3.2
9999
#18
2.10.8
2.41.6
Auto2.9
Teleop-1.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned