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Red66
463537.2
61707.9
440029.1
Blue56
460319.4
664716.0
473110.6
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions974701506656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.21.0
33.732.7
Auto15.0
Teleop20.8
End1.4
red by 17.8
4603
#11
19.40.5
22.022.5
Auto7.6
Teleop10.2
End1.6
Second
29.11.0
33.032.0
Auto11.7
Teleop16.4
End1.0
red by 13.1
16.00.5
19.419.9
Auto4.9
Teleop9.7
End1.4
Third
6170
#17
7.91.0
14.513.5
Auto4.6
Teleop2.3
End1.0
blue by 2.8
10.60.5
6.77.3
Auto4.5
Teleop4.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsEarned54%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed