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Red45
75462.4
440315.0
228315.8
Blue33
35266.7
51335.2
347831.2
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575302040801004533

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2283
#12
15.81.0
21.019.9
Auto9.0
Teleop5.6
End1.2
blue by 15.4
31.21.1
34.633.6
Auto12.2
Teleop15.4
End3.5
Second
4403
#23
15.01.0
23.122.1
Auto5.0
Teleop8.5
End1.5
red by 8.3
3526
#16
6.71.1
7.56.5
Auto3.4
Teleop3.1
End0.2
Third
7546
#13
2.41.0
7.46.4
Auto2.0
Teleop0.4
End0.1
blue by 2.8
5133
#28
5.21.2
6.75.6
Auto2.4
Teleop2.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed