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Red24
93015.4
34727.6
460319.4
Blue35
594813.6
829311.3
670213.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4456020801002435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4603
#11
19.41.2
22.521.4
Auto7.6
Teleop10.2
End1.6
red by 5.8
5948
#27
13.61.0
21.620.6
Auto5.7
Teleop6.4
End1.6
Second
3472
#14
7.61.2
9.48.2
Auto3.4
Teleop4.2
End-0.0
blue by 5.9
13.51.0
17.116.1
Auto4.4
Teleop7.1
End1.9
Third
9301
#32
5.41.2
9.68.4
Auto2.1
Teleop2.6
End0.7
blue by 5.9
11.31.0
10.79.7
Auto5.5
Teleop5.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed