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Red38
309810.6
829710.6
92418.9
Blue29
88959.8
96729.4
714710.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26320501001502003829

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3098
#18
10.61.0
11.012.0
Auto3.2
Teleop4.7
End2.7
red by 0.5
7147
#20
10.11.1
9.48.3
Auto4.5
Teleop4.5
End1.0
Second
8297
#32
10.60.6
3.03.6
Auto5.7
Teleop4.1
End0.8
red by 0.8
8895
#33
9.81.1
9.78.6
Auto3.5
Teleop6.4
End-0.1
Third
9241
#28
8.91.0
10.311.3
Auto2.1
Teleop4.7
End2.0
blue by 0.6
9672
#38
9.41.9
9.37.3
Auto4.4
Teleop5.2
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned