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Red38
92117.0
634418.2
553015.0
Blue56
296020.1
522717.1
549810.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353615202530404550553856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6344
#11
18.20.3
15.015.4
Auto4.6
Teleop10.6
End3.0
blue by 1.9
20.10.1
14.915.0
Auto7.2
Teleop10.0
End2.9
Second
5530
#12
15.00.5
11.111.6
Auto7.2
Teleop6.8
End1.1
blue by 2.1
5227
#15
17.10.0
8.68.7
Auto7.6
Teleop7.5
End2.0
Third
9211
#40
7.00.3
7.17.4
Auto3.3
Teleop1.8
End1.9
blue by 3.1
5498
#21
10.10.0
6.97.0
Auto0.2
Teleop7.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsEarned