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Red32
92095.8
52635.1
233722.7
Blue30
88328.8
766015.5
86219.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284402060801003230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2337
#13
22.70.5
19.019.4
Auto10.2
Teleop12.1
End0.4
red by 3.3
862
#16
19.41.5
17.015.6
Auto6.2
Teleop10.9
End2.3
Second
9209
#36
5.80.3
5.55.8
Auto3.8
Teleop2.2
End-0.2
blue by 9.7
7660
#19
15.50.9
11.610.7
Auto7.3
Teleop5.3
End2.9
Third
5263
#35
5.10.3
3.23.5
Auto1.9
Teleop1.8
End1.4
blue by 3.7
8832
#41
8.80.9
9.68.8
Auto5.4
Teleop2.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed