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Red52
766015.5
439510.8
296020.1
Blue25
92129.0
150214.8
96729.4
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3234102040505225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.12.4
13.816.2
Auto7.2
Teleop10.0
End2.9
red by 5.3
1502
#29
14.80.4
15.014.6
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End1.2
Second
7660
#19
15.51.4
10.712.2
Auto7.3
Teleop5.3
End2.9
red by 6.0
9672
#38
9.40.4
5.75.2
Auto4.4
Teleop5.2
End-0.2
Third
4395
#14
10.81.4
6.07.4
Auto6.2
Teleop1.8
End2.8
red by 1.9
9212
#31
9.00.4
8.37.9
Auto1.6
Teleop6.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed