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Red76
92104.9
514421.4
570818.2
Blue14
92418.9
92095.8
92117.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362301030405060707614

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5144
#27
21.41.3
16.217.6
Auto7.4
Teleop12.3
End1.8
red by 12.5
9241
#28
8.92.0
10.18.1
Auto2.1
Teleop4.7
End2.0
Second
5708
#10
18.21.3
8.59.9
Auto8.3
Teleop9.0
End0.9
red by 11.2
9211
#40
7.01.2
7.46.2
Auto3.3
Teleop1.8
End1.9
Third
9210
#37
4.91.3
6.17.4
Auto2.4
Teleop2.5
End-0.0
blue by 0.9
9209
#36
5.81.2
4.83.6
Auto3.8
Teleop2.2
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed