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Red64
714710.1
332228.0
88328.8
Blue48
107630.2
83008.6
829710.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444502060801006448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.8
23.924.7
Auto15.1
Teleop11.0
End2.0
blue by 2.1
30.20.5
29.630.1
Auto9.7
Teleop17.8
End2.6
Second
7147
#20
10.10.8
8.39.1
Auto4.5
Teleop4.5
End1.0
blue by 0.5
8297
#32
10.60.5
5.56.0
Auto5.7
Teleop4.1
End0.8
Third
8832
#41
8.80.8
7.88.6
Auto5.4
Teleop2.9
End0.5
red by 0.2
8300
#23
8.60.5
5.66.1
Auto0.7
Teleop8.2
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsEarned47%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned20%Ensemble oddsMissed