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Red65
30226.7
553015.0
52635.1
Blue40
610111.1
432715.8
309810.6
60%Model gave it40%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4541102030506070806540

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#6
26.71.7
24.225.8
Auto5.8
Teleop16.9
End4.0
red by 10.9
4327
#25
15.80.2
15.115.2
Auto5.4
Teleop9.8
End0.6
Second
5530
#12
15.02.8
11.614.4
Auto7.2
Teleop6.8
End1.1
red by 3.9
6101
#26
11.10.2
9.910.1
Auto4.5
Teleop3.4
End3.2
Third
5263
#35
5.11.7
4.35.9
Auto1.9
Teleop1.8
End1.4
blue by 5.5
3098
#18
10.60.3
12.612.9
Auto3.2
Teleop4.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed