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Red43
61907.8
714710.1
432715.8
Blue66
634418.2
52399.7
514421.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31450204060804366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4327
#25
15.80.5
15.215.8
Auto5.4
Teleop9.8
End0.6
blue by 5.6
5144
#27
21.40.1
17.617.7
Auto7.4
Teleop12.3
End1.8
Second
7147
#20
10.10.5
9.19.7
Auto4.5
Teleop4.5
End1.0
blue by 8.1
6344
#11
18.20.1
14.915.0
Auto4.6
Teleop10.6
End3.0
Third
6190
#39
7.80.9
5.46.3
Auto3.1
Teleop3.8
End0.9
blue by 1.9
5239
#34
9.70.2
6.36.5
Auto5.0
Teleop2.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed