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Red47
528214.3
309810.6
661525.3
Blue26
506721.8
88328.8
92129.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions583402040801004726

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.30.2
24.624.4
Auto10.3
Teleop12.8
End2.3
red by 3.5
21.80.5
17.316.8
Auto8.4
Teleop11.0
End2.4
Second
5282
#22
14.30.2
12.312.1
Auto3.1
Teleop10.2
End0.9
red by 5.3
9212
#31
9.00.9
7.97.0
Auto1.6
Teleop6.1
End1.3
Third
3098
#18
10.60.3
12.912.6
Auto3.2
Teleop4.7
End2.7
red by 1.8
8832
#41
8.80.5
8.68.0
Auto5.4
Teleop2.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed