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Red51
570818.2
829710.6
872820.8
Blue72
92418.9
6735.4
553015.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3765020801001205172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8728
#30
20.80.9
19.220.2
Auto6.8
Teleop13.1
End0.9
blue by 14.5
67
#1
35.40.8
30.130.9
Auto11.1
Teleop19.4
End4.9
Second
5708
#10
18.20.9
11.512.4
Auto8.3
Teleop9.0
End0.9
red by 3.2
5530
#12
15.01.3
17.118.4
Auto7.2
Teleop6.8
End1.1
Third
8297
#32
10.60.9
6.17.1
Auto5.7
Teleop4.1
End0.8
red by 1.7
9241
#28
8.91.3
8.19.4
Auto2.1
Teleop4.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned36%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed60%Ensemble oddsMissed