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Red73
296020.1
107630.2
652823.3
Blue63
436233.5
30226.7
233722.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71894060801001207363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.20.3
30.530.8
Auto9.7
Teleop17.8
End2.6
blue by 3.3
33.51.3
31.229.8
Auto12.0
Teleop19.0
End2.5
Second
23.30.3
18.418.7
Auto7.2
Teleop12.7
End3.3
blue by 3.5
302
#6
26.71.3
26.024.6
Auto5.8
Teleop16.9
End4.0
Third
20.10.5
17.618.1
Auto7.2
Teleop10.0
End2.9
blue by 2.6
2337
#13
22.72.2
21.018.8
Auto10.2
Teleop12.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsEarned73%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
55%Ensemble oddsEarned26%Ensemble oddsMissed