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Red41
514421.4
610111.1
714710.1
Blue45
766015.5
634418.2
92048.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42381020305060704145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5144
#27
21.40.4
17.717.3
Auto7.4
Teleop12.3
End1.8
red by 3.2
6344
#11
18.20.7
15.015.7
Auto4.6
Teleop10.6
End3.0
Second
6101
#26
11.10.4
9.99.4
Auto4.5
Teleop3.4
End3.2
blue by 4.4
7660
#19
15.50.7
12.313.0
Auto7.3
Teleop5.3
End2.9
Third
7147
#20
10.10.4
9.79.3
Auto4.5
Teleop4.5
End1.0
red by 1.8
9204
#24
8.40.7
7.88.5
Auto4.0
Teleop3.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed