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Red52
52399.7
549810.1
432715.8
Blue28
150214.8
52635.1
88959.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333430354045505228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4327
#25
15.80.8
15.816.6
Auto5.4
Teleop9.8
End0.6
red by 1.0
1502
#29
14.80.3
16.015.7
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End1.2
Second
5498
#21
10.10.8
8.08.8
Auto0.2
Teleop7.1
End2.8
red by 0.3
8895
#33
9.80.2
8.98.7
Auto3.5
Teleop6.4
End-0.1
Third
5239
#34
9.71.3
6.57.8
Auto5.0
Teleop2.9
End1.8
red by 4.6
5263
#35
5.10.2
5.75.6
Auto1.9
Teleop1.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsEarned4%Ensemble oddsMissed