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Red19
52399.7
150214.8
92104.9
Blue55
766015.5
83008.6
506721.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324202060801955

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1502
#29
14.81.3
15.714.4
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End1.2
blue by 7.0
21.80.5
17.117.6
Auto8.4
Teleop11.0
End2.4
Second
5239
#34
9.71.3
7.86.6
Auto5.0
Teleop2.9
End1.8
blue by 5.8
7660
#19
15.50.5
13.013.5
Auto7.3
Teleop5.3
End2.9
Third
9210
#37
4.90.8
6.86.0
Auto2.4
Teleop2.5
End-0.0
blue by 3.7
8300
#23
8.60.5
6.97.5
Auto0.7
Teleop8.2
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed