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Red70
634418.2
296020.1
366822.1
Blue82
30226.7
652823.3
570818.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54654060801007082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3668
#17
22.11.3
18.419.7
Auto9.7
Teleop9.8
End2.6
blue by 4.6
302
#6
26.71.6
24.025.6
Auto5.8
Teleop16.9
End4.0
Second
20.12.2
16.718.9
Auto7.2
Teleop10.0
End2.9
blue by 3.2
23.31.6
19.821.5
Auto7.2
Teleop12.7
End3.3
Third
6344
#11
18.21.3
15.016.3
Auto4.6
Teleop10.6
End3.0
blue by 0.1
5708
#10
18.21.6
13.615.2
Auto8.3
Teleop9.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsEarned45%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed43%Ensemble oddsEarned