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Red43
610111.1
92418.9
522717.1
Blue34
432715.8
88328.8
88959.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303801020506070804334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5227
#15
17.11.0
11.112.1
Auto7.6
Teleop7.5
End2.0
red by 1.3
4327
#25
15.80.1
15.815.8
Auto5.4
Teleop9.8
End0.6
Second
6101
#26
11.11.0
9.710.7
Auto4.5
Teleop3.4
End3.2
red by 1.3
8895
#33
9.80.1
9.09.0
Auto3.5
Teleop6.4
End-0.1
Third
9241
#28
8.91.6
7.49.1
Auto2.1
Teleop4.7
End2.0
red by 0.1
8832
#41
8.80.1
8.58.5
Auto5.4
Teleop2.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed