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Red76
6735.4
522717.1
766015.5
Blue42
332228.0
309810.6
296020.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions636545505560707580857642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#1
35.41.2
32.333.6
Auto11.1
Teleop19.4
End4.9
red by 7.3
28.01.1
25.224.0
Auto15.1
Teleop11.0
End2.0
Second
5227
#15
17.11.2
12.113.3
Auto7.6
Teleop7.5
End2.0
blue by 3.0
20.11.7
18.917.2
Auto7.2
Teleop10.0
End2.9
Third
7660
#19
15.51.2
12.914.2
Auto7.3
Teleop5.3
End2.9
red by 4.9
3098
#18
10.61.7
14.512.8
Auto3.2
Teleop4.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
46%Ensemble oddsEarned40%Ensemble oddsMissed