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Red34
92117.0
150214.8
83008.6
Blue51
872820.8
30226.7
61907.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266102040801003451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1502
#29
14.80.7
12.913.6
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End1.2
blue by 12.0
302
#6
26.70.0
25.625.6
Auto5.8
Teleop16.9
End4.0
Second
8300
#23
8.60.4
8.69.0
Auto0.7
Teleop8.2
End-0.3
blue by 12.3
8728
#30
20.80.0
19.219.2
Auto6.8
Teleop13.1
End0.9
Third
9211
#40
7.00.4
6.16.5
Auto3.3
Teleop1.8
End1.9
blue by 0.8
6190
#39
7.80.0
6.26.2
Auto3.1
Teleop3.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed42%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed