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Red51
366822.1
309810.6
766015.5
Blue47
549810.1
91835.0
107630.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5152204060801005147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3668
#17
22.10.3
19.519.8
Auto9.7
Teleop9.8
End2.6
blue by 8.1
30.20.3
30.730.4
Auto9.7
Teleop17.8
End2.6
Second
7660
#19
15.50.3
14.214.5
Auto7.3
Teleop5.3
End2.9
red by 5.4
5498
#21
10.10.3
10.09.7
Auto0.2
Teleop7.1
End2.8
Third
3098
#18
10.60.4
12.813.2
Auto3.2
Teleop4.7
End2.7
red by 5.6
9183
#42
5.00.3
6.25.9
Auto3.2
Teleop1.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned29%Ensemble oddsMissed