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Red68
652823.3
92095.8
86219.4
Blue36
432715.8
439510.8
92418.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473702060806836

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.31.3
20.922.2
Auto7.2
Teleop12.7
End3.3
red by 7.4
4327
#25
15.80.6
16.015.4
Auto5.4
Teleop9.8
End0.6
Second
862
#16
19.41.9
17.519.4
Auto6.2
Teleop10.9
End2.3
red by 8.6
4395
#14
10.80.6
9.89.2
Auto6.2
Teleop1.8
End2.8
Third
9209
#36
5.81.3
3.14.4
Auto3.8
Teleop2.2
End-0.2
blue by 3.1
9241
#28
8.90.8
8.77.9
Auto2.1
Teleop4.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned