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Red44
30226.7
549810.1
92095.8
Blue85
506721.8
366822.1
6735.4
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions378702060801001201404485

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#6
26.70.1
25.625.5
Auto5.8
Teleop16.9
End4.0
blue by 8.6
67
#1
35.40.8
33.734.5
Auto11.1
Teleop19.4
End4.9
Second
5498
#21
10.10.1
9.99.9
Auto0.2
Teleop7.1
End2.8
blue by 12.0
3668
#17
22.10.8
19.820.6
Auto9.7
Teleop9.8
End2.6
Third
9209
#36
5.80.1
4.44.3
Auto3.8
Teleop2.2
End-0.2
blue by 16.0
21.80.8
19.420.2
Auto8.4
Teleop11.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsEarned73%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
47%Ensemble oddsMissed60%Ensemble oddsEarned