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Red57
309810.6
652823.3
439510.8
Blue55
92117.0
92048.4
332228.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504202060801005755

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.30.2
22.021.9
Auto7.2
Teleop12.7
End3.3
blue by 4.8
28.00.8
25.025.7
Auto15.1
Teleop11.0
End2.0
Second
4395
#14
10.80.2
10.710.5
Auto6.2
Teleop1.8
End2.8
red by 2.5
9204
#24
8.40.8
8.29.0
Auto4.0
Teleop3.1
End1.2
Third
3098
#18
10.60.2
11.611.4
Auto3.2
Teleop4.7
End2.7
red by 3.6
9211
#40
7.00.8
5.46.2
Auto3.3
Teleop1.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
53%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed