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Red66
107630.2
506721.8
150214.8
Blue54
553015.0
514421.4
366822.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71592040801001206654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.20.2
29.229.4
Auto9.7
Teleop17.8
End2.6
red by 8.1
3668
#17
22.10.0
20.620.6
Auto9.7
Teleop9.8
End2.6
Second
21.80.2
20.220.4
Auto8.4
Teleop11.0
End2.4
red by 0.4
5144
#27
21.40.0
20.020.0
Auto7.4
Teleop12.3
End1.8
Third
1502
#29
14.80.3
13.513.8
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End1.2
blue by 0.2
5530
#12
15.00.0
13.913.8
Auto7.2
Teleop6.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsEarned37%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed